{"id":831,"date":"2024-07-04T16:55:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-04T16:55:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/?p=831"},"modified":"2024-07-04T16:55:09","modified_gmt":"2024-07-04T16:55:09","slug":"3-key-elements-every-farmer-needs-to-know-to-obtain-higher-wheat-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/3-key-elements-every-farmer-needs-to-know-to-obtain-higher-wheat-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Key Elements Every Farmer Needs to Know to Obtain Higher Wheat Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-838 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Wheat.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1125\" height=\"750\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>How do you make sense of all the news in the marketplace?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Google for answers?<br \/>\n&#8211; Subscribe to a newsletter service?<br \/>\n&#8211; Ask your grain buyer what they think?<br \/>\n&#8211; Read the newspaper?<br \/>\n&#8211; Talk to your neighbours?<br \/>\n&#8211; Check out what farmers are saying on Twitter?<br \/>\n&#8211; Rely on a reputable grain marketing advisory firm?<\/p>\n<p>When I started farming, I couldn\u2019t make sense of all the news (noise). One article would<br \/>\nsuggest grain prices should go up, and another would be reason for the market to go<br \/>\ndown. Who was right?<\/p>\n<p>After taking courses on how to market grain, I learned that on any given day there are<br \/>\nseveral reasons why a market could go down, and just as many reasons for it to go up.<br \/>\nHow do you decipher all this information?<\/p>\n<p>I found that charting and technical analysis was the answer. Technical analysts believe<br \/>\nwholeheartedly that the price action brings out the news. If the market is up at the end<br \/>\nof the day, bullish news substantiates the reason for prices being higher. If the market<br \/>\nsettles lower, the bearish news is referenced.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Therefore, the news is always bullish at the height of a rally and bearish at the<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong><em>bottom. This causes farmers to believe the market will continue to move higher at<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n<em><strong>the top and lower at the bottom.<\/strong><\/em>After watching the price action on charts and<br \/>\nstudying technical analysis for the past 40 years, I found that charting and technical<br \/>\nanalysis is the only way to cut through the news and identify market highs and lows.<\/p>\n<p><strong>It\u2019s quite simple.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>It\u2019s time to sell when 1) the market rallies into resistance, 2) is technically<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>overbought, and 3) a reversal pattern appears.<\/strong> By following this discipline, our clients<br \/>\ntell us we are 85% accurate in alerting them to sell at or near a market high. 15% of the<br \/>\ntime, a market may push through resistance and continue to rally. This is still a good<br \/>\nthing, as farmers like to sell grain when the price is higher and avoid selling at the low.<br \/>\nFor illustrative purposes, let\u2019s look at the July 2024 MGEX spring wheat futures chart,<br \/>\nwhich had a spring rally in 2024, before turning down.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-835\" src=\"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-04-at-8.40.21\u202fAM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2038\" height=\"1148\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In the accompanying chart, futures rallied into resistance at US$7.67, was technically<br \/>\noverbought, and developed a reversal pattern called an oops. We acted by alerting our<br \/>\nclients to sell at the market high on May 28, 2024. Since then, futures have been down<br \/>\n18 of the past 19 business days.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What would an extra $1.50 per bushel for wheat do for your farm\u2019s bottom line?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>A 50 bushel per acre crop would gross an extra $75.00\/acre. On 5,000 acres, that<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>would be an extra $375,000.00 in gross revenue.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Clients tell us they make their investment in our program back in one recommendation.<br \/>\nOver 40 years experience in watching the charts has enhanced my ability to know when<br \/>\nto pull the trigger and when not to pull the trigger. Some call it a sense, instinct or<br \/>\nintuition.<\/p>\n<p>Regardless of how we do it, we have an excellent track record that is second to none.<br \/>\nThe more I focus on the charts and the less I look at the news, the better I am in<br \/>\nidentifying market trends, market highs, and lows.<\/p>\n<p>Wondering when to sell wheat? If interested to learn more, click the link <a href=\"https:\/\/tinyurl.com\/mrxr5t5j\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"How do you make sense of all the news in the marketplace? &#8211; Google for answers? &#8211; Subscribe to a newsletter service? &#8211; Ask your grain buyer what they think? &#8211; Read the newspaper? &#8211; Talk to your neighbours? &#8211; Check out what farmers are saying on Twitter? &#8211; Rely on a reputable grain marketing [&hellip;]\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[45,11,14,15,17,31,19,42,10,27,23],"class_list":["post-831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-futures","tag-agchieve","tag-agriculture","tag-combyne","tag-crop-marketing","tag-farming","tag-financials","tag-futures","tag-grain-contracts","tag-grain-marketing","tag-grain-trade","tag-options-futures"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/831","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=831"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/831\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":840,"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/831\/revisions\/840"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/welcome.combyne.ag\/resource-centre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}